stung by another lay

August 21st, 2009 by sean Leave a reply »

2 nights ago, i layed burnley winning 1-0 and lost €15. Last night, the same thing happened with Roma.

It was 1-1 when i layed against 5 goals. I bet €5 and i’d lose €14.95 if 5 goals went in. The match ended 3-3 and i lost €14.95.

Burned for the second time in as many days. My balance was down to just over €16 now… So i banked on Dinamo Zagreb beating Hearts at 1.49.

bets aug 20th

I was confident this was a banker and even mentioned it to Enda in an email, but i hadn’t intended betting on it. My hand was forced by that massive €14.95 loss. If i got this wrong and zagreb didn’t win, my balance would have been €0 and i’d have been out of the competition for August.

So, temporarily, my balance was down to €0. Of course Dinamo won comfortably (4-0), my bank was never in danger ;-) so i won over €8 back to leave my balance sitting on €24. It begs the question why don’t i do that more often!

I make it look like lays are a bad way of betting but they’re actually the easiest imo… i’ve just had a really bad streak of luck.

If you get them wrong, they can go massively wrong as i’ve proved… the stakes are very high so it’s a really risky strategy laying at relatively high odds.

At one stage tonight Roma were about 1.03 to lay, so had i bet 90c on them not winning i would have won €30… that’s where lays can work really well. But obviously with hindsight it’s easy to pick winners :mrgreen:

So another big loss today but i halved it by gambling big. I did place another big bet yesterday right after my win with Dinamo Zagreb. Boca Juniors to beat Velez at even money. I stuck €10 on it.

Boca went 1-0 up after 3 minutes so i was immediately in the driving seat with this bet. I could have greened out for about €4 profit straight away but didn’t – i was confident Boca would win. Boca then hit the post and had another shot trickle past the same post – all within the opening 20 minutes.

I’d done my homework on this one and thought it was a relatively safe bet as Boca had a good pre season plus they made some smart signings. They were up against the league champions though so this was by no means a banker. Ordinarily i wouldn’t have put €10 on it, but i was eager to get back past the €30 mark…

I layed Boca at 1.38 at the start of the second half which meant i effectively had a free bet on Boca and stood to win €6.20 if boca held on for victory. They conceded a late 80th minute goal which meant i didn’t win anything… but i didn’t lose either :smile:

I also won about €5 in total on a few tennis matches to leave my balance for the day sitting at €29.88. So i basically won back the majority of a €15 loss yesterday. Overall, i lost a bit for the day, but it felt like victory :-)

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  • Monthly Stats – December

    Sean
    Betfair - Bet: €1349.12 - Balance €202.07
    PaddyPower - Bet: €1.00 - Balance: €5.12
    Total - Bet: €1350.12 - Balance: €207.19

    Enda
    Betfair - Bet: €55.98 - Balance: €8.95
    PaddyPower - Bet: €0.00 - Balance: €0.00
    Total - Bet: €0.00 - Balance: €8.95

  • Monthly Stats – November

    Sean
    Betfair - Bet: €136.05 - Balance: €0.00
    PaddyPower - Bet: €5.00 - Balance: €0.00
    Total - Bet: €141.05 - Balance: €0.00

    Enda
    Betfair - Bet: €31.88 - Balance: €20.11
    PaddyPower - Bet: €3.72 - Balance: €1.18
    Total - Bet: €35.60 - Balance: €21.29

  • Monthly Stats – October

    Sean
    Betfair - Bet: €20.00 - Balance: €0.00
    PaddyPower - Bet: €6.00 - Balance: €17.16
    Total - Bet: €26.00 - Balance: €17.16

    Enda
    Betfair - Bet: €25.68 - Balance: €19.28
    PaddyPower - Bet: €1.28 - Balance: €3.72
    Total - Bet: €26.96 - Balance: €23.00

  • Monthly Stats – September

    Sean
    Betfair - Bet: €141.50 - Balance: €71.91
    PaddyPower - Bet: €5.00 - Balance: €1.17
    Total - Bet: €146.50 - Balance: €72.91

    Enda
    Betfair - Bet: €30.71 - Balance: €62.54
    PaddyPower - Bet: €10.73 - Balance: €11.62
    Total - Bet: €41.44 - Balance: €74.16

  • Monthly Stats – August

    Sean - Bet: €901.57 - Balance: €50.58 Sean Wins!
    Enda - Bet: €89.86 - Balance: €49.95

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