Lucky streak continues

September 24th, 2009 by enda Leave a reply »

I just bagged another €1.96 profit as my lucky streak continues! It was €2.06 as seen in the second screen shot below but betfair took 10 cents commission on my winnings. Here’s how I did it: There was about 15 minutes left in the match when Genoa went 2-1 up. I actually fancied Juve before this one kicked off but didn’t go ahead with the bet. I immediately backed the 2-1 score line at 1.69. I then went to the match odds and seen that Genoa could be layed at 1.33. It’s was a risk laying a match bet against a correct score bet but I thought it was worth the risk with just over 10 minutes to play and the 36% discrepancy made it worth it. If the match stays at 2-1 I’ll definitely profit after these bets. I decided to lay it off though as if Genoa go 3-1 up I’ll loose around €3.30. I lay the 2-1 score line at 1.51 guaranteeing 44 cents profit on the score betting part of the bet if it stays like this. However, I know that I’ll loose money if Genoa win the match as I’d loose 83 cents on my 2.50 lay, minus the 44 cents is an overall loss of 39 cents. Before making these bets though I took calculated risks and knew I’d profit €2.50 if the match is a draw or Juventus win so it’s worth the risk. It sounds more complicated than it was and it could have gone wrong me me.

genoa_juventus_lay_and_back

It didn’t though and it went exactly right. As soon as Juventus scored and levelled the match at 2-2 I immediately layed the draw to ensure I win even if Genoa sneak a late goal.

genoa_juventus_betting

The match finished 2-2 and this extra €1.96 means that the 9/1 bet that I predicted I needed to hit the €75 target goes down to a 5/1. I said the 52 cents from earlier might be really important and this €1.96 ‘may’ be a whole lot more important. As I say this could have worked out wrong for me, but I acted quickly and was prepared to loose a small stake in the hope Juventus scored. If they do I win big (relatively speaking), I got a bit of luck but you need that! A bit of careful selecting and another lucky bet or two at the weekend and €75 and beyond is not out of my sites. I now have a nice comfort blanket above and will be happy to double my money once again!

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  • Monthly Stats – December

    Sean
    Betfair - Bet: €1349.12 - Balance €202.07
    PaddyPower - Bet: €1.00 - Balance: €5.12
    Total - Bet: €1350.12 - Balance: €207.19

    Enda
    Betfair - Bet: €55.98 - Balance: €8.95
    PaddyPower - Bet: €0.00 - Balance: €0.00
    Total - Bet: €0.00 - Balance: €8.95

  • Monthly Stats – November

    Sean
    Betfair - Bet: €136.05 - Balance: €0.00
    PaddyPower - Bet: €5.00 - Balance: €0.00
    Total - Bet: €141.05 - Balance: €0.00

    Enda
    Betfair - Bet: €31.88 - Balance: €20.11
    PaddyPower - Bet: €3.72 - Balance: €1.18
    Total - Bet: €35.60 - Balance: €21.29

  • Monthly Stats – October

    Sean
    Betfair - Bet: €20.00 - Balance: €0.00
    PaddyPower - Bet: €6.00 - Balance: €17.16
    Total - Bet: €26.00 - Balance: €17.16

    Enda
    Betfair - Bet: €25.68 - Balance: €19.28
    PaddyPower - Bet: €1.28 - Balance: €3.72
    Total - Bet: €26.96 - Balance: €23.00

  • Monthly Stats – September

    Sean
    Betfair - Bet: €141.50 - Balance: €71.91
    PaddyPower - Bet: €5.00 - Balance: €1.17
    Total - Bet: €146.50 - Balance: €72.91

    Enda
    Betfair - Bet: €30.71 - Balance: €62.54
    PaddyPower - Bet: €10.73 - Balance: €11.62
    Total - Bet: €41.44 - Balance: €74.16

  • Monthly Stats – August

    Sean - Bet: €901.57 - Balance: €50.58 Sean Wins!
    Enda - Bet: €89.86 - Balance: €49.95

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    Who'll win in December?

    • Sean (100%, 3 Votes)
    • Enda (0%, 0 Votes)

    Total Voters: 3

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