August 2009 – Wk3 Review – Enda

August 17th, 2009 by enda Leave a reply »

I was away in Liverpool for the week and I’m only getting time to post about my bets for the week and review last week now. Sorry about the delay!

I had three football bets this week, all singles and Sean is very very lucky that I didn’t go for a treble that I really fancied. But accumulators are a bookies dream against the average punter and are very hard to pull off. As far as I can remember, the big four only all won in the same weekend, twice last season. It’s a rare occurence to pull off an accumulator even if you’re going for the so called sure things!

Anyway, the treble that I was going to do Stoke, Fulham and Sunderland. I really thought Sunderland had a great chance this weekend but Bolton are a strong side so I decided against it. Ah well, I thought it was the correct decision not to go for it and lose €2 from my kitty, I was wrong, I’m over it!

The three single bets that I did were as follows:

  • Fulham to win away at Portsmouth, I tipped this one on Saturday and although Fulham bagged a very lucky goal through a wicked Robbie Earnshaw deflection off a Clint Dempsey shot, for me this was thee value bet of the opening day of the premiership! I’ve been waiting to get my money on this one for the past 2 weeks. Fulham’s away form was dismal last year but they’ve had a good pre-season in their away matches and have been scoring goals. Portsmouth are a weakened squad having let go 8 players over the Summer, There also seems to be unrest with whatever players are left at the club. I had to get on this one. I did green out and layed Fulham for €10 at 1.10 (before the match) so I gave away €1.00 of my potential winnings of €5.10. Still no need to get greedy and €4.10 will do me every time, stress free. If Portsmouth equalise with a late goal I’m up €7.33 so it’s worth taking the €1 hit and greening out.
  • Stoke at home to Burnley. At even money I had to be on Stoke here and 2-0 up at half time was good enough for me. A €2 stake on Stoke at even money netted me a return of €4.00 and a net profit of €1.90 after Betfair took their commission.
  • Shelbourne away to Finn Harps. Shelbourne are pushing the top of the table and I fancied them at Finn Park. They went ahead half way through the second half but I was unfortunate that Finn Harps equalised with an 88th minute penalty. Some you win, some you lose. I lost €2 euro here, but my other bets on the Premier League were already home and dry so it was work the risk!
  • football_betting_stoke_fulham_shelbourne

    Next up was My Monster Bet of €30.00
    This deserves a seperate post really but as I’m reviewing my week it’ll have to go in here. I seen Sean pulling away yesterday and I decided I needed to close the gap a bit if I seen the opportunity. I needed a good bet to stop him getting too far ahead. At this stage, I had a feeling he was on Tiger in the golf and thought that he might further increase his balance past the €40.00 mark that he hit yesterday.

    I risked nearly my entire bankroll on what I think is the nearest thing to free money available in sports betting. You will get burned on bets like this eventually, but this man is thee ultimate athlete and I had to go for it!

    Cometh the hour cometh the Bolt! Enter Mr. Usain Bolt in the 2009 100 metres sprint world championship in Berlin. I watched it and he’s standing on the line saying “I’m ready, Are you ready? Let’s Go!” and Tyson Gaye, his biggest competition is standing beside him in a ball of nerves!

    He proved my bet to be the right move, and crushed the field by 2 metres with a new world record of 9.58 seconds! I got my bet on and I’m not afraid to admit my fear, and that I layed it back off too. I backed him at 1.10 for a 10% profit and layed him of at 1.01 to loose 32 cents of my €3 profit.

    usain_bolt_betting

    My reason for this was to cover a photo finish. If it did come to a photo, from my experience using betfair, Bolt would have been backed at 1.01 and I’d be guaranteed €2 profit no matter what happens. No Chance of a photo chance! This man for me has to be one of thee best sportsmen of ‘all’ time. Seriously! I watched him in the olympics. I also bet on him and he is an absolute phenomenon! He just glides down the track like it’s the easiet thing in the world! There’s always a risk in track and field betting with injury, false starts and of course drugs, so there’s chance you can loose a large stake here in the hope of getting a very small profit! But I took action to increase my bankroll and it’s paid off in a big way! After Sean’s loss on Tiger, this €3 will be an extra thorn in his side! It’s up to Sean to do the chasing now! The pressure is on him to to pull off some great bets.

    This left my balance at €37.11 and I staked 11 cents on Rory McIlroy at 250/1 in the golf with 9 holes gone. If he made a charge in the back nine and the leaders slipped, I could have profited big with a lay. It didn’t happen that way, no biggie! I now have €37.00 of a balance and I’ve stormed ahead of Sean. Even if Tiger did come through for him, I wouldn’t have batted an eyelid. I’m playing my own game, and I’d be making the same bets!

    Here’s my stats:
    Opening Balance: €30.77
    Bet this week: €38.10
    Bet this month: €62.90
    Current Balance: €37.00
    Profit/Loss (week): €6.23 profit
    Profit/Loss (month): €17.00 profit

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  • Monthly Stats – December

    Sean
    Betfair - Bet: €1349.12 - Balance €202.07
    PaddyPower - Bet: €1.00 - Balance: €5.12
    Total - Bet: €1350.12 - Balance: €207.19

    Enda
    Betfair - Bet: €55.98 - Balance: €8.95
    PaddyPower - Bet: €0.00 - Balance: €0.00
    Total - Bet: €0.00 - Balance: €8.95

  • Monthly Stats – November

    Sean
    Betfair - Bet: €136.05 - Balance: €0.00
    PaddyPower - Bet: €5.00 - Balance: €0.00
    Total - Bet: €141.05 - Balance: €0.00

    Enda
    Betfair - Bet: €31.88 - Balance: €20.11
    PaddyPower - Bet: €3.72 - Balance: €1.18
    Total - Bet: €35.60 - Balance: €21.29

  • Monthly Stats – October

    Sean
    Betfair - Bet: €20.00 - Balance: €0.00
    PaddyPower - Bet: €6.00 - Balance: €17.16
    Total - Bet: €26.00 - Balance: €17.16

    Enda
    Betfair - Bet: €25.68 - Balance: €19.28
    PaddyPower - Bet: €1.28 - Balance: €3.72
    Total - Bet: €26.96 - Balance: €23.00

  • Monthly Stats – September

    Sean
    Betfair - Bet: €141.50 - Balance: €71.91
    PaddyPower - Bet: €5.00 - Balance: €1.17
    Total - Bet: €146.50 - Balance: €72.91

    Enda
    Betfair - Bet: €30.71 - Balance: €62.54
    PaddyPower - Bet: €10.73 - Balance: €11.62
    Total - Bet: €41.44 - Balance: €74.16

  • Monthly Stats – August

    Sean - Bet: €901.57 - Balance: €50.58 Sean Wins!
    Enda - Bet: €89.86 - Balance: €49.95

  • Polls

    Who'll win in December?

    • Sean (100%, 3 Votes)
    • Enda (0%, 0 Votes)

    Total Voters: 3

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