Today i layed Dinamo Zagreb, Maccabi Haifa and Panathinaikos all winning their 2nd leg Champions League Matches (in an accumulator bet). All were at home but just Panathinaikos needed to win over the 90 minutes to qualify, so i thought it was a smart move laying all 3 collectively (also given the fact none of the 3 had won their away matches). I was right.
I wanted to stick €3 on it at odds of 4, meaning i’d risk losing €9 if this bet went against me. I could only stake €2.35 though, so my total liability was €7.05. Later on i placed a further 65c bet on at odds of 3.5.
So in total, i risked €8.68 on 1 of 3 teams not to win. If the bet came good, i’d win €3.
These are the sort of bets that you really don’t want to get wrong. There is no margin for error. Had i got this wrong, it would have wiped out my previous 3 days of hard work and steady profit plus it would have left me €4 euro in the red overall and gifted Enda the lead.
So it was a risky move and a suicidal one to most people given the fact i was well ahead of Enda
Having said all that, this was also a calculated risk and i know that it’s extremely rare 3 home sides will all win 2nd legs in competitive champions league matches over 90 minutes, when all 3 have failed to win their away matches in the first leg.
It started off fantastic… odds on favourites maccabi haifa went 3-0 DOWN in the opening 15 minutes of their match at home. ‘Easy money’ i said to myself… didn’t even matter what happened in the other two matches.
Well, good thing i didn’t lay them outright because Haifa came back, incredibly, to win 4-3. At this stage i was worried – i had analysed all 3 matches before hand and i had placed this in 2nd spot in terms of causing an upset. In my own mind, i had placed the Dinamo / Salzberg match as no.1 in terms of causing an upset. Luckily, i was right… not only did Dinamo fail to win, they lost.
Finally, Panathinaikos won their match 3-0, but i had allowed for that before hand… i was expecting them (more so than the other two favourites to win). So i got my predictions spot on on this accumulator bet, but Haifa pulled off a shock comeback which turned up the heat on me slightly…
Safe in the knowledge i’d won €3, i also placed two in-match bets in the Panathinaikos match. I bet 50c and lost it, then i bet €2 and won 24c, so i suffered a slight loss there of 26c. I also placed an in game bet in the salzburg match and won 12c…
So in total, a gross profit of €2.70 today. 4th consecutive day of profit. Biggest profit day yet for me. My balance now stands at €27.38.You’d think my luck would run out at some stage, but it’s my job to prove you wrong and keep profiting.
4 consecutive days of profit can’t be fluked, so i’ve really laid down an early marker this month. Enda is playing it safe and hoping i’ll beat myself but so far those tactics aren’t working and i’m strecthing my lead day by day…